Economic update: Trade tariffs lower growth forecasts
International organisations have lowered their growth forecasts since the US imposed tariffs on goods imports in April.

The public finances include government borrowing and debt. Find the latest data on UK borrowing and debt as well as forecasts for the future.
Public finances: Economic indicators (73 KB , PDF)
Economic indicators are quick-read summaries of the latest data focusing on different aspects of the UK economy. The full suite of indicators can be found on the main Economic Indicators page.
Borrowing in 2024/25 was £152 billion, according to the Office for National Statistics’ (ONS’) first provisional estimate. This is £21 billion more than in 2023/24 and £15 billion more than the Office for Budget Responsibility forecast in March 2025.
sources: ONS series J5II, J5IJ; OBR. Public finances databank
Public sector net debt (PSND) was equivalent to 95.8% of GDP at the end of March 2025. It was 95.6% of GDP at the end of March 2024.
Public sector net financial liabilities (PSNFL) measure the government’s wider balance sheet. It is one of the measures targeted in the government’s fiscal targets. PSNFL was equivalent to 83.5% of GDP at the end of March 2025. It was 80.9% of GDP at the end of March 2024.
sources: ONS series HF6X, CPOE
sources: J5II; J5IJ; HF6X; CPOE; OBR. Public finances databank – March 2025
The ONS’s figures for 2023/24 and 2024/25 are provisional: they’re not final figures and may be revised as provisional data are replaced with final audited data.
Net borrowing – often described as the deficit – is the difference between what the government spends and what it receives in taxes over a particular time period.
Net debt is the total amount that the public sector owes – it is largely the stock of past borrowing.
Net financial liabilities is a wider measure of the government’s balance sheet including more financial liabilities and assets
All figures exclude public sector banks.
This page is updated when new data is published. The next source updates will be:
OBR, Economic and fiscal outlook, autumn 2025
ONS, Public sector finances, 22 May 2025
Public finances: Economic indicators (73 KB , PDF)
International organisations have lowered their growth forecasts since the US imposed tariffs on goods imports in April.
Background and statistics on the grants that the government pays out to organisations like local authorities, public bodies and charities.
Business and consumer sentiment can give an early indication of economic trends. Find the latest data on what businesses and consumers expect for the UK economy.