Economic update: Trade tariffs lower growth forecasts
International organisations have lowered their growth forecasts since the US imposed tariffs on goods imports in April.

Debt levels affect how much households spend. Find the latest data on UK household debt, mortgage rates and insolvencies.
Household debt: Economic indicators (70 KB , PDF)
Economic indicators are quick-read summaries of the latest data focusing on different aspects of the UK economy. The full suite of indicators can be found on the main Economic Indicators page.
Household debt peaked in Q3 2008 at 156.4% of household disposable income. It then declined to 134.6% by early 2016.
Growth in household debt levels has been slowing since the beginning of 2022. In Q4 2024 the debt-to-income ratio was 118.1%.
Statistical note: The household debt and income source data were changed in May 2019. Previously debt and income totals included the non-profit sector (mostly charities and universities). The new data reflects only individuals in the household sector. The overall historical trends are unchanged. For more see the Library paper on household debt.
The average Standard Variable Rate (SVR) was 7.23% in March 2025, down 0.70 percentage points on a year ago.
The average 2-year fixed mortgage rate was 4.54% in March 2025, down 0.42 percentage points on a year ago.
There were 28,577 individual insolvencies in England and Wales in Q1 2025, 495 fewer than in the previous quarter.
The Q1 2025 level is 2.1% higher than the level in Q1 2024.
In Scotland, there were 1,784 individual insolvencies in Q4 2024, down 11% on the year.
In Northern Ireland, there were 401 individual insolvencies in Q1 2025, up 9% on the year.
This page is updated when new data is published. The next source updates will be:
Bank of England, Statistical database, 8 May 2025
Insolvency Service, Insolvency Statistics, 20 May 2025
ONS, UK Economic Accounts, 30 June 2025
Household debt: Economic indicators (70 KB , PDF)
International organisations have lowered their growth forecasts since the US imposed tariffs on goods imports in April.
Business and consumer sentiment can give an early indication of economic trends. Find the latest data on what businesses and consumers expect for the UK economy.
A summary of the latest economic indicators for the regions and nations of the UK.